Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona (Champions League, 20 Oct 2026) was on Barcelona -0 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.87 at open to 2.02 at the close, a -4.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3.75 at open to 4.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
How the market closed
Paris Saint Germain closed as the 2.40 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Barcelona, which drifted from 2.38 to 2.55.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris Saint Germain | 2.48 | 2.40 | +1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.20 | 4.51 | -1.6pp |
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 2.38 | 2.55 | -2.8pp |
| Totals | Over 4.25 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Totals | Under 4.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Paris Saint Germain +0 | 1.95 | 1.90 | +1.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Barcelona -0 | 1.87 | 2.02 | -4.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Paris Saint Germain | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.48 | 4.20 | 2.38 |
| 48 hours before | 2.36 | 4.70 | 2.51 |
| 24 hours before | 2.50 | 4.30 | 2.50 |
| 6 hours before | 2.52 | 4.47 | 2.44 |
| 1 hour before | 2.47 | 4.48 | 2.48 |
| Close | 2.40 | 4.51 | 2.55 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Paris Saint Germain shortened from 2.48 to 2.40, a +1.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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